Jandecy Cabral Leite2025-05-052015SANTIAGO, Sandro Breval; LIMA, Orlem Pinheiro de; RODRÍGUEZ, Carlos Manuel Taboada. Uso do Método Holt-Winters para Previsão do PU de Títulos Públicos Federais do Brasil. Revista SODEBRAS, v. 10, n. 120, p. 83-87, dez. 2015.https://rigalileo.itegam.org.br/handle/123456789/1139The article evaluates the predictive capability of the Holt-Winters exponential smoothing method for forecasting the Unit Prices (PU) of Brazilian National Treasury Notes – type B (NTN-B) in the secondary market. The sample comprises daily PU quotations from January to December 2012. Results, analyzed using MAPE (0.33%) and Theil’s U (0.928) metrics, demonstrate that the additive Holt-Winters method is effective for pricing these securities, serving as a valuable tool for financial market trading decisions.pdf.Holt-WintersNTN-BPrevisãoMAPEU de TheilArtigoEconomia