Modelo para estimar o risco de ruptura pela falta de abastecimento de insumos, com base em simulação digital: caso de uma indústria de eletroeletrônicos

Abstract

The supply flow for the manufacture of technology products has been impacted by restrictions in its supply dynamics, due to complex issues that involves uncertainties in the supply of inputs. This context got worst with the global supply crisis for the electronics goods industry, especially for the automotive industries, in 2020. By this uncertain scenario, the research is based on the case study to develop a model, based on digital simulation, which estimates the risk of disruption in a production process of electronics industry, due to lack of supply of components. This study development examined how traditional production planning and control systems are integrating with new information technologies enabling to obtain an accurate data for predicting disruption risks. The model is based on real data and requirements generated by Production Planning and Manufacturing Resource Planning (MRP) calculation to determine the disruption point, integrated within a Low Code Development Platform (LCDP) digital platform. The outcomes obtained in the case study highlighted the effectiveness of the proposal as the calculation of the disruption date and the production volume impacted by the disruption.