Previsão da Eficiência de uma Usina Geradora de Energia Elétrica

Abstract

The study examines the efficiency reduction of motors in an electricity-generating plant from 2001 to 2013, forecasting efficiency up to 2020. Methods such as exponential, logarithmic, linear, and ARIMA were applied using tools like Excel and SPSS20. Results indicated consistency across models, demonstrating the effectiveness of simple solutions for long-term forecasts. The research underscores the significance of forecasting for strategic and operational planning in thermoelectric plants.